Rugby Championship Predictions
Everyone wants a Rugby Championship prediction, but the honest version is more useful than a confident scoreline. Here is how the tournament tends to play out and where the betting value sits.
How the Championship tends to go
The title nearly always comes down to South Africa and New Zealand, and often to the two Tests they play each other — win that head-to-head and you are usually lifting the trophy and the Freedom Cup with it. Australia and Argentina can beat anyone on their day, and the Pumas in particular have pulled off outright shocks, which is exactly why nothing here is a 'sure thing'. A prediction is a read on probabilities, not a certainty, and anyone selling you a guaranteed winner is not being straight.
Where the value sits
Because the sides are closely matched, value more often sits in the match markets than on a short outright — the handicap in a mismatch, or total points when styles and conditions suggest a high or low score. Treat the two South Africa v New Zealand Tests as the pivotal fixtures and watch how the The Rugby Championship outright odds move around them. South Africans always have one eye on the Springboks; the Rugby Championship guide has the full markets.
Frequently asked questions
Who usually wins the Rugby Championship?
South Africa and New Zealand have shared almost every title since the tournament went to four teams in 2012, and the destination often hinges on the two Tests they play each other.
Are paid Rugby Championship tips worth it?
Be wary of anyone guaranteeing winners. Free form analysis and understanding the markets are more useful than paid 'sure things', which do not exist in sport — these are evenly matched Test sides.